Poker 3 Bet Sizing
On this page you'll find a Kelly Criterion Bet Calculator. Enter your assumptions on
- Probability of winning
- Odds and payouts
- Your current bankroll
- Any adjustments you want to make to be conservative
Bet Sizing: A General Understanding. How is a bet size measured (in terms of whether it’s a small bet or big bet)? Any bet in poker is relative to the amount of money that is in the pot (usually expressed as a fraction or percentage, such as ½-pot, or 50%-pot). In this video, I will teach you how to use solid ranges, optimal raise sizes, & common exploits to make more money from out of position! For ALL of my 3-bett. Feb 03, 2018 If the BTN opens to 3x (much more common at deeper stacks) and we 3-bet to 8.5bb (not an uncommon 3-bet sizing for some players), then the BTN can come back with a 4-bet of around 19bb – 2.25x our 3-bet size, since they’re in position.
We automatically calculate your ideal bet size with the Kelly Criterion and your assumptions.
The Kelly Criterion Bet Calculator
Practical Application of the Kelly Criterion To Betting Strategies
The Kelly Criterion is a formula to determine the proper size of a bet with known odds and a definite payout. With hand waving and basic math you can also use it to help guide your investment decisions.
It's most useful to determine the size of a position you should take.
Using the Kelly Calculator
The Kelly Criterion bet calculator above comes pre-filled with the simplest example: a game of coin flipping stacked in your favor.
- The casino is willing to pay 2 to 1 on any bet you make.
- Your odds of winning any one flip are 50/50.
- Therefore, your probability is .5... 50%.
- Your 'odds offered' are '2 to 1' (so enter 2).
- You have $1,000 with you.
Poker 3 Bet Sizing Chart
Hit calculate, and see that you should definitely take the bet. Your optimal bet size is 25% of your bankroll.
(Now, find a casino stupid enough to offer those odds!)
Of course, you can see practical the practical value of Kelly betting when it comes to things with discrete results and obvious probabilities - say pot odds in a poker hand. Your mileage may vary.
Poker 3bet Size
What do you think about simple Kelly betting? Even though it is designed to never let you go bankrupt, Kelly still allows wild volatility swings.
Poker 3 Bet Sizing Calculator
Do you prefer another strategy? Perhaps half or quarter Kelly methods?